 The Rude Awakening Wall Street, New York Tuesday, June 28, 2005
------------------------- - New York Stock Exchange - New highs and new lows,
- The lifestyle senior editors afford and junior
editors dream of and,
- Only three days left for the "perfect investment"
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with the property, that is
not with any members of the local populace. Ever since that delightful visit, your editor has vowed to return, at least as a tourist, if not also as a property owner. But before continuing to gush about the place, we must mention a couple of important facts: 1) The same folks who issue your editor's paychecks also hold a substantial stake in Rancho Santana. 2) International Living and the Rude Awakening both receive commissions on certain property sales at Rancho Santana. Given these two conflicts of interest, please feel free to ignore the next 1,074 words. Fortunately, your editor's conflicts of interest present no moral conflict whatsoever, because he truly loves the place. On December 19, 2002, immediately after his return from Nicaragua, he published the following impressions in the Daily Reckoning: "While it's true that my body has returned from Nicaragua, my mind is still drifting somewhere around the 12th parallel north of the equator
It's difficult to forget the soothing combination of sun, sand, stunning views and superb food, all of which Rancho Santana offers in abundance
If Rancho Santana had been equipped with an Internet connection, you would have needed a crowbar to pry me out of the place
[Editor's note: A high-speed Internet arrived to Rancho Santana shortly after my departure] "On my way down to Nicaragua, I met Larry Holmes, one of the very first residents of Rancho Santana. Larry spends several months a year in his beautiful home overlooking Rosada Beach. He also owns 11 other lots inside the development. So Larry is something of an expert about the place. When I asked him how he liked it down there, he replied, 'It's heaven on earth.' "I was skeptical. But after seeing it firsthand, I've been converted. Even if Rancho Santana is not quite heaven on earth, it is at least a spectacular purgatory
My long- time friend, Hilaire, joined me on the journey. Every day, we feasted on fried plantains, chicken and fish prepared in various types of citrus and garlic-based marinades, thick flour tortillas, heuvos rancheros and, of course, rice and beans
"Hilaire is a dedicated surfer who toted his 'longboard' along with him, all the way from Laguna Beach, CA. Laguna, if you're not familiar with it, does not exactly lack for great surf. But Hilaire gamely decided to give 'Nica' a try. After surfing perfect 'left break' for almost an entire day, I asked him if the trip was worth the trouble. "'Absolutely,' he replied. 'This place is awesome.' "And now that I have returned to Manhattan, I can't help but recall another one of Rancho Santana's principal "awesome" traits - its utter isolation. There are no casinos, no McDonald's and hardly any people. Occasionally, a couple of local fisherman would amble past
or a few globetrotting American surfers. But otherwise, no one
" The development at Rancho Santana has continued to thrive over the past three years. So the place is not quite as primitive as it used to be, but I would imagine that it is just as beautiful
and as relaxing. "The more often we visit Nicaragua," Bill Bonner once remarked, "the more we begin to think that turning into a banana republic wouldn't be so bad. The weather is nice. The fruit is fresh. And the cost of living is low. Besides, people take their politicians less serious; they seem to expect them to act like clowns, crooks and desperadoes. They suffer few disappointments." Bill, for one, has suffered very few disappointments in Nicaragua. He has constructed two very nice homes in Rancho Santana, and visits often. Earlier this month, Lee Harrison, a writer for International Living, filed the following report from Rancho Santana: THE CADILLAC OF BEACHFRONT COMMUNITIES By Lee Harrison I wasn't going to stop here. I shouldn't admit this, but I felt I'd heard all I ever needed to hear about Rancho Santana back in the days when International Living had a sales office there. I came back this time only because my friend Gail Geerling has a home here where I could stay while I was in the area - something I'm sure won't happen again once she gets my bar tab from the clubhouse. I'd been here before, and frankly hadn't been that impressed. Sure, the coastline is beautiful
but, otherwise, I didn't find it really special. But a lot has changed in the last three years. When I arrived this time, I found what I immediately thought of as the "Cadillac" of the beachfront communities in Nicaragua. I've spent a lot of time in Southern California, and on arriving here I thought back to the exclusive gated communities near Dana Point or Laguna Beach in Orange County, with their multi-million-dollar properties looking out over the Pacific. Rancho Santana today is also in that category - the cream of the crop - and someday in the future will be priced like Orange County as well. I wake up here not only to the sound of crashing waves, but also to the roar of howler monkeys and a symphony of countless tropical birds - things that they don't have in Orange County now that I think about it. And as the total property is over 3,000 acres, the view and the local environment are secure. Everything in Rancho Santana is complete, and it's been done in a first-rate fashion. An impressive clubhouse with fine restaurant, high-speed Internet service, a new bar, and a beautiful pool looking out on to the beach are just the beginning. They also have a water plant providing pure drinking water, their own cell tower, and all underground utilities. Unlike most beach-oriented projects, you're not "betting on the infrastructure" here, but rather buying into a first-rate community where everything's up and running
and it's nice. I was surprised at the number of surfers of my age who reside at Rancho Santana. I knew the surfing here was world-class, but have always associated surfing communities with little shacks on the beach. Live and learn. I looked at a section called Bella Vista while I was here on this visit, and found about 60 lots available with awesome ocean views. Bella Vista is back from the beach, but high enough in elevation that you can see miles out to sea. Lots in this area start at just $40,000 and go up to $100,000 for the best 270-degree views. There are other properties available at Santana, but I felt like the best values were in Bella Vista, which also includes some attractive ocean-view wooded lots. Sure, you can buy cheaper on the coast in Nicaragua, but I personally value the fact that you don't have to wonder what things will be like "when they're done." As sales manager Tom Gordon and I drove from Bella Vista back to the clubhouse, we startled an eagle that had roosted in an overhanging tree, reminding me that despite all the fine amenities here, the natural environment has been preserved. [Joel's Note: This morning your junior editor woke not to the sweeping view of the Rancho Santa coastline or the sound of crashing waves. Instead, a cold shower and the sound of Baltimore traffic outside his window welcomed him back to the working world. While we have to stay here and work our way to the top - or at least middle - those of you that can take advantage of this need to contact land@ranchosantana.com for all the details. Oh
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http://www.agora-inc.com/reports/GRP/WGRPFA02 ------------------------- Did You Notice
? By Carl Swenlin [Joel's Note: To check out more of Carl's in depth chart analysis, head to www.decisionpoint.com Since the beginning of July, 52-week new highs have been contracting with each new NYSE Composite price high, demonstrating that fewer and fewer stocks are participating in the rally. Contracting new highs by themselves are not always problematic, and can merely be a sign of an approaching correction in an ongoing bull market; however, when they are accompanied by expanding 52-week new lows, a darker picture begins to emerge.
You will note that spikes in the number of new lows usually occur at the end of corrections, giving notice that the correction is near an end. Unfortunately, the recent spike in new lows has occurred just as the NYSE Composite Index has pulled back from an all-time high, and this is an indication that, not only is upside participation fading, but the tide may be shifting to the downside as well. [Joel's Note: Those familiar with Penny Sleuth, Penny Stock Fortunes and The GRIP already know Carl Waynberg's uncanny ability to pick a "jumper" stock in any market conditions. His insight - and unique indicators - have already led investors to triple digit gains this year. Check him out here: The Gripper http://www.agora-inc.com/reports/GRP/WGRPF815 And the Markets
| Tuesday | Monday | This week | Year-to-Date | DOW | 10,456 | 10,444 | 37 | -3.0% | S&P | 1,216 | 1,216 | 0 | 0.3% | NASDAQ | 2,116 | 2,121 | 0 | -2.7% | 10-year Treasury | 4.29 | 4.30 | 4.00 | 4.25 | 30-year Treasury | 4.55 | 4.56 | 3.00 | 4.50 | Russell 2000 | 659 | 660 | 4 | 1.2% | Gold | $464.00 | $466.90 | $0.75 | 6.0% | Silver | $7.29 | $7.35 | $0.00 | 7.0% | CRB | 327.03 | 326.93 | 3.92 | 15.2% | WTI NYMEX CRUDE | $65.10 | $65.89 | $0.91 | 49.8% | Yen (YEN/USD) | JPY 113.26 | JPY 112.13 | -0.80 | -10.4% | Dollar (USD/EUR) | $1.2012 | $1.2074 | 35 | 11.4% | Dollar (USD/GBP) | $1.7668 | $1.7792 | 106 | 7.9% |
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