The Book that History Conspired to Bury
The Book that History Conspired to Bury by Lew Rockwell The Daily Reckoning Wednesday, August 16, 2006 --------------------- - Talkin' 'bout my generation
79 trillion-dollar shackles
- Step right up
come one, come all, to the Fed's Magic Money Show! Make sure to keep your eyes on the wacky elastic dollar - it'll blow your mind!
- L'Ondine et Hitler
join the SKI team - Spending the Kid's Inheiritance
and more!
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-------------------- Today's thoughts run in several directions at once. We wriggle into them as into a badly made sweater: one arm too long, shoulders too wide, and a hole too small to get our head through. It may not look elegant, but it will be serviceable. We begin with the short end of the thing: Thirty-five years ago yesterday, the U.S. government told its foreign creditors to drop dead. It does not dare so say so out loud, but now it is about to say the same thing to the American people
and to foreign holders of U.S. paper, too. That is what our faith-based global monetary regime has wrought: a massive increase in debts and obligations. But who will pay it? We turn to our family hearth for illustration. "Look, I don't owe you anything," was what we heard yesterday at the breakfast table. Jules, back from college, feels he should not be treated like the younger children. His mother had just given him a long list of chores. "Well
hold on
we gave you your life," countered his mother. "Hey, I didn't ask you for that; you did it for your own sakes," Jules replied. "Well, how about this: we just gave you breakfast. The least you can do is to take the dishes to the kitchen," his mother said. "No, you invited me to come here. I really didn't want to come here for the summer. There's nothing to do here. You can't invite me and then force me to work," Jules noted. Jules, you will note, is in a weak bargaining position. He does not earn his own way in life. He cannot really say "no" to his parents, without potentially suffering a big drop in his standard of living. But we rush to add that we have not invited you, dear reader, into our dining room and into our family squabbles to make idle chatter. You probably get enough of that at home. We do it to illuminate our subject: what one generation owes another. You see, Jules wants to feel independent, a young man
free, white, and over 18. He should be able to do what he pleases, he figures. But he has the U.S. Congress, the Bush administration and the world's dollar-based monetary system all working against him, hammering out shackles, chains, and leg irons that he and the rest of his generation will have to wear their entire lives. The latest report in the Financial Times claims the shackles weigh in at $79 trillion. If there are 100 million people in Jules' generation, that works out to $790,000 for every one of them. We played the part of provocateur, as usual, gladly. "What do you think of that, Jules?" we needled our young man. "You've got to be kidding. I'm not paying it. And I couldn't pay it even if I wanted to," came the reply. "And why should I have to work all my life so some old geyser " "Jules
" protested his mother. "Well, so people of your generation can retire to Florida on their fat, happy derrieres? Besides, it's all smoke and mirrors," Jules said. There is, of course, so much smoke it is like the Great Fire of San Francisco, and a fun house full of mirrors, too - in the fed's Magic Money Show, which is what makes it so entertaining. Every public spectacle is amusing in its own way, but all have the same basic theatrical elements: each begins with legerdemain or an outright lie, it progresses into a farce, and ends in disaster. The founding lies of the Fed are as follows: that a bank can create money out of thin air
that experts who can't tell you whether oil is going up or down tomorrow can nevertheless manage an entire economy
and that a committee of bureaucrats can cobble together a short-term lending rate better than the market itself. This same Fed has now turned the world economy into a financial circus; accountants juggle the books; deficits soar through the air like trapeze artists; the animals in the trading pits roar; the magicians try to convince the rubes that they can't believe the evidence of their own eyes. And, the clowns at the Fed pretend that they know what they are doing. The dollar is now so elastic that people think that the budget can be stretched like Lycra tights on a fat woman, and yet somehow it will snap right back into place. They believe they can spend, spend, spend
and daddy will never take the T-bird away. In the last nine years, $40 trillion worth of new financial commitments has been added to Social Security and Medicare alone, USA Today tells us. Who is supposed to make them good? Jules and his friends? It is as if a man were to go into a restaurant, order a bottle of champagne, enjoy a nice meal and when the bill comes around, say, "My wife had a son last week
save this for him. Just let the interest build up until he's ready to begin paying it off." "Yeah, right," says Jules. More news from our currency counselor
-------------- Chuck Butler, reporting from the world-currency trading desk in St. Louis: "I would have to think that if CPI (by some great imagination) comes in lower than the .4% rise that is forecast, the dollar will get pummeled
Because, that means that the Fed Heads were 'SO SMART' in pausing last week, and would give indication that no further hikes are needed
" For the rest of this story, and for more insights into the currency markets, see today's issue of The Daily Pfennig -------------- Back to France for more views, opinions and thoughts
*** First, a note from Addison, reporting from Cannes: Today, the sun is out, but a healthy wind whips across the sea. Waves are crashing on the shore. Still, L'Ondine, the restaurant at which we're dining, is at full capacity, yellow awnings flapping loudly in the wind. Dr. Richebächer knew the owners of the restaurant 40 years ago when they were working as a waitress and kitchen boy in a bistro in Wiesbaden. "Soon, after they came down here [to Cannes] and made a smashing success of beach-side dining." Of course, when conversing with Dr. Richebächer, it doesn't take long to return to the principal thoughts occupying his mind: "The level of economic insight and discussion in America is at an unbelievable low
even from the Universities. They have replaced critical analysis with surveys. The Consumer Sentiment Survey published by the University of Michigan is a prime example. When it is published
it moves the market." If you read the American press, or watch the financial news channels, you won't see any discussion of weakness in the economy
the pile up of debt
the impact of hedonics; income "imputations"; "modeling" of employment statistics
or the wealth effect of rising asset prices (including houses) on growing GDP
"Ja, American complacency will come to an end
" Historically though, that kind of complacency doesn't end well - doesn't it have to be beaten out of a people? Isn't the crisis usually a political one
concurrent with a lot of violence? "Not since Hitler, have I seen such complacency and superiority in one society "I regard the American's as the Nazis of our time. Ex: The way Israel laid waste to Lebanon and the 'terrorists' fight back with bows and arrows. This blitzkrieg mentality was the mentality of the Nazis
"I regard Americans as a primitive people
only in a primitive society are such things possible." At the end of lunch, Dr. Richebächer laid a book on the table: Hayek's "Money and Interest" with an inscription on the inside, written in German by Hayek himself, made out to Herr Richebächer, signed 1979. Historical anecdote: The Good Doctor left home when he was 19. He was at dinner with his father, brother and British girlfriend when a German U-boat sank a British ship in a British harbor. This was before the true hostilities began. His father and brother cheered. But Dr. Richebächer was incensed. He pulled the tablecloth out from under the plates, grabbed his girlfriend's hand and left the house. He never returned to live at his home again
But, he's quick to mention that he always had respect for his parents. "I didn't agree with his opinions," he says of his father, "but I always respected the man
and the institution of family." [Ed. Note: You've probably gathered that Dr. Richebächer is a fascinating man - billionaires and presidents
financial ministers and market makers
and pretty much anyone else you'd include in a long list of top financial visionaries, experts and inside players
have all studied and followed this man's brilliant market insights over the last half century. Find out why here: An Assassin's Bullet Started It All *** And back to Bill
"I joined the SKI team," said a friend in London. "I'm Spending the Kids' Inheritance." Americans now import $1.82 worth of goods and services from overseas for every dollar's worth they export. What happens to the 82 cents? It has to come from somewhere. "Don't worry," say economists, "it comes back to the United States in the form of capital." But what is this "capital?" It is bonds and stocks, real estate, and even the nation's infrastructure. When foreigners invest the "capital" they make from selling things to Americans, what they are really doing is taking over the wealth of the country. They are lending money, buying companies, or taking ownership of valuable property. In every case, instead of paying interest to themselves or paying dividends to themselves, Jules and his friends will be making payments to foreigners. If we package our roads and tunnels, for example, and sell them to foreign investors - whose pockets have been stuffed with dollars by trade deficits - the next generation will pay the consequences every time they drive over a bridge. It is all the same to God, of course. He doesn't care who owns U.S. bridges, businesses and Treasury obligations. But it might matter to Jules and his friends. Their parents are spending their inheritance. The older generation is giving up ownership of future profits and revenues in exchange for cheap goods and services today. Every generation wants to get something for nothing, especially if they can get it now. Every generation would like an opportunity to spend the next generation's money. But rarely do these opportunities present themselves. We guess that it is only because of the supple post-1971 financial system that it has been possible at all. So, enjoy the plastic cup-holder that came all the way from China
in your automobile that was made in Yokohama. Go to your doctor and get some more drugs, courtesy of the U.S. government. And don't forget to refinance your house with one of those nifty Neg-Am mortgages; as time goes by the principle just gets bigger and bigger. The older you get, the more you owe. But what do you care? Your kids will have plenty of time to pay it off! --- Advertisement ---
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