| THANKSGIVING, ANNO 1999 PARIS, FRANCE THURSDAY, 25 NOVEMBER 1999
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In Today's Daily Reckoning: ***Markets in the United States closed for the holiday ***Internet Mania Spreading Worldwide ***Gold inches up * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *** The big headline in today's Herald Tribune -- U.S. Economy Surges Ahead
America in "Overdrive." *** The news that GDP grew at an annual rate of 5.5% in the third quarter caused the dollar to rise to a 4-month high against the Euro. Could the dollar be at a cyclical high? It's hard to imagine the news that might send it higher. *** The Dow was subdued in response. Investors couldn't tell if this was good news or bad. The Dow edged up 12 points. Transports, oil, utilities
all moved marginally in one direction or another. *** But the tech spike continues to push upward at an astonishing pace. Nasdaq was up a big 77.56. Internets were up similarly
with even AMZN up 5. *** This Internet mania is spreading. Rafael reports that the few Internets listed on the French market trade a multiples similar to those in the United States. And today's headline from the Financial Times tells us
"Techs Push Tokyo above 19,000." *** And in Italy, where they tend to exaggerate trends, they had to stop trading on a new Internet- related IPO for a company called Finmatica after shares rose 500% over the offer price.
*** Another little note from Italy
the government just sold $4.74 billion in bonds backed by uncollected, delinquent tax obligations. Government bonds are always backed, implicitly, by the government's power to squeeze blood out of its population of turnips. But this marks the first time a government has securitized the reluctant beets. *** However fast the U.S. economy is growing, the European Commission says Europe will grow faster. They're forecasting a growth rate of 2.9% for the next two years, a rate that is expected to be higher than that of the US and Japan. *** Gold moved higher
it is at $299. Gold is still very cheap by historical measures
and it appears to me to be in a bull market. *** "Computers make everyone write a lot more, and a lot longer," said April Bernard, who teaches literature at one of those charmingly expensive little colleges in Vermont. "But they're absolutely not making them write better." More writing, as readers of this letter know all too well, is not a good thing. Writing is like giving gifts-it's the thought that counts, not the verbosity accompanying it. * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * THANKSGIVING, ANNO 1999. I turned to my trusty assistant
Beirne White
this morning. "Beirne," I said gravely, "tell me about Thanksgiving in Mississippi." Beirne proceeded to tell me about a Mississippi bluesman named "Son" House, who lived to be 102 by doing what bluesmen tended to do
chasing bad luck, bad liquor and bad women. "What has that to do with Thanksgiving?" "Nothing," he replied
whereupon he drew on the resources generously provided by Britannica.com, formerly of Chicago, lately of cyber space, to get me the research I requested. Beirne hails from Mississippi. And while Mississippians will sit down with the rest of the nation
and tuck into their turkeys with equal relish
perhaps only substituting Bourbon Pecan pie for the sweet potato or pumpkin pie enjoyed in Maryland
it was not always so. Somewhere deep in the most primitive part of his medulla oblongata, the part of the brain where race memories are stored, Beirne resists Thanksgiving. It is, after all, a Yankee holiday. In the middle of the war between the states, both sides would proclaim days of "thanksgiving," following the progress of the war as we now follow the progress of the stock market. After each of the first and second battles of Bull Run-which sent the Yankees fleeing back to Washington-the Confederates proclaimed days of thanksgiving. But it was Lincoln's day that stuck. Declared after the battle of Gettysburg-the last great Napoleonic charge of military history-Thanksgiving was set for the third Thursday in the month of November, commemorating the Northern victory. Beirne doesn't say so
but this fact must stick in his craw.
It doesn't help that the original celebration took place in Massachussetts. And that it was hosted by a dour bunch of Puritans, who probably wouldn't have been able to enjoy a good dinner if their lives depended on it. But they certainly had a lot to be thankful for. As the Wall Street Journal reminds us annually, they nearly exterminated themselves in typical Yankee fashion-by wanting to boss each other around. They had arrived in Massachusetts by accident and bad seamanship, intending to settle in the more hospitable climate of Virginia, which had been colonized more than 10 years before. Once in Massachussetts they proceeded to set up a such a miserable community that surely most of them, had they lived, would have longed to return to England. The Soviets could have learned from their example and spared themselves 70 years of misery. Only after the "witch burners and infant damners" abandoned their communal form of organization, and allowed people to work for themselves, did the colony have a prayer of survival.
But victors write the history books. And now this precarious celebration by a feeble group of religious zealots has turned into the most American holiday. After Appomattox, the South was helpless. Its natural leaders, the plantation aristocrats, were either dead, bankrupted and/or discredited. Many of them went to Northern cities, like New York or Baltimore, where, Mencken tells us, they "arrived with no baggage save good manners and empty bellies." They enriched the North. But back home, they were sorely missed. "First the carpetbaggers," says Mencken, "ravaged the land
and then it fell into the hands of the native white trash
" Scars of war can take a long time to heal. But 130 years later, the South is the most economically and culturally robust part of the nation.
Thanksgiving was declared a national holiday in 1931. Through the Depression, and then WWII, Thanksgiving grew in importance. In a country where roots meant almost nothing, where people were ready to pick up and move at the drop of a hat, where there were huge differences in what people thought and how they lived, Thanksgiving served to provide a unified, national myth
most popularly expressed in Norman Rockwell's Thanksgiving cover for the Saturday Evening Post.
Roots mean more in Mississippi than they do in California. "No man is himself," said Oxford, Mississippi's most celebrated alcoholic, "he is the sum of his past." Unlike so many other American writers of the 20th century, Faulkner stayed home. The forward to the "encyclopedia of southern culture" has a passage from Faulkner, saying: "Tell about the South. What's it like there. What do they do there. Why do they live there. Why do they live at all." Even in Faulkner's Mississippi
Thanksgiving is now part of everyone. Where Beirne goes
it goes too. And so, all over the world, Americans, gathering in small groups, like pilgrims on distant shores, celebrate the holiday (if not on the actual day
perhaps the weekend following
as we will do.) This can require a little ingenuity. Americans in France have to search for the ingredients. Pumpkins are hard to pronounce-citrouilles-and hard to find. Cranberry sauce is unknown. Art Buchwald has translated the Thanksgiving story for the French, deftly turning Captain Miles Standish into Le Capitaine Kilometre Deboutish. But no one has refashioned American Thanksgiving recipes for the metric measuring cups here in France. My wife, Elizabeth, descendant of the Puritan fathers
former resident of New York
a Yankee-in other words-will do her best. And we will be thankful. Bill Bonner |